Monday, October 21, 2013

Beta was the driving factor last week for performance but Dividend Yield galvanizing returns over the past year

Last week with most of the attention being on whether or not the US Government would be able to get a deal done to raise the debt ceiling and fund the government, the factor with the highest R-square performance was Beta. Beta has played a prominent role over the past 3 months as well (second highest correlation behind T-Bond Yield Curve, respectively).

Last week's top 5 factors with the highest R-Square
image

Over the past 3 months the top 5 factors with the highest R-Square
image

However, over the past year valuation metrics have shown a greater relationship to performance with Dividend Yield (DY) and P/E, two of the three highest R-square values during this time.

image