Thursday, May 29, 2014

Pending Home Sales Can't Blame The Weather For The Latest Miss

Pending home sales rose by only 0.4% in April vs estimates of a 1% month-over-month gain. Pending home sales are down over 9% year-over-year. If you are living in the West or the Northeast than that decline looks great compared to fall they are experiencing in those regions. The West is down 15% year-over-year and the Northeast is down 12% year-over-year. The silver lining is that pending home sales is suggesting a gain over the coming months for existing home sales perhaps back to the 5 million annualized level. Perhaps if we continue to get a decline in bond yields like we did yesterday (the 10-year is down another 3 bps so far today) then lower mortgage rates will incentive more buyers back into the market.

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