Gavekal Capital: Junk Bond Spreads Accelerating Higher

Friday, August 1, 2014

Junk Bond Spreads Accelerating Higher - Not Good for Stocks

Earlier this week as asked what junk bonds know that stocks don't. Since then junk spreads to the 10-year US Treasury bond have widened another 20bps as they have accelerated higher. Given the 88% correlation with stocks over the last year, this is something that we will continue to closely monitor.

Aug 2013-Jul 2014:

About Gavekal Capital

Gavekal Capital is a US registered investment advisory firm that manages the Gavekal Knowledge Leaders Strategy. Knowledge Leaders are a group of the world’s leading innovators with deep reservoirs of intangible capital. These companies often possess competitive advantages such as strong brand, proprietary knowledge or a unique distribution mechanism. Knowledge Leaders are largely service-based and advanced manufacturing businesses, often operating globally. Gavekal Capital seeks to identify the world’s leading knowledge companies through a proprietary process that analyzes corporate knowledge investments.
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