Gavekal Capital: 47% of the MSCI World Index Is In A Correction (At Least)

Thursday, February 12, 2015

47% of the MSCI World Index Is In A Correction (At Least)

Regular readers know we like to slice the market internal data in a many different ways because a lot of the time the cap-weighted indices aren't a proper representation of what is going on with the majority of stocks. With this in mind, one of the ways we like to measure what is going on underneath the surface is to take a percentage of stocks that are trading at levels less than 10% off its 200-day high, 10-20% off its 200-day high, 20-30% off its 200-day high and greater than 30% off its 200-day high. By doing this, we get a good idea of what the price dispersion of stocks currently looks like. So while the MSCI World Index is basically at its all-time high, almost half of the 1600+ stocks are down 10% from its 200-day high (i.e. in a correction). Also, almost 1/4 of all stocks are in a bear market and 10% of stocks are down at least 30%.

About Gavekal Capital

Gavekal Capital is a US registered investment advisory firm that manages the Gavekal Knowledge Leaders Strategy. Knowledge Leaders are a group of the world’s leading innovators with deep reservoirs of intangible capital. These companies often possess competitive advantages such as strong brand, proprietary knowledge or a unique distribution mechanism. Knowledge Leaders are largely service-based and advanced manufacturing businesses, often operating globally. Gavekal Capital seeks to identify the world’s leading knowledge companies through a proprietary process that analyzes corporate knowledge investments.
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Disclosure

The information presented here is for informational purposes only, and this document is not to be construed as an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, securities. Some investments are not suitable for all investors, and there can be no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Hyperlinks may be included in this message that provide direct access to other internet resources, including web sites. While we believe these links are to reliable sources, Gavekal has no control over the accuracy or content of information contained on these sites. Although we make every effort to ensure such links are accurate, up to date and relevant, we have no control over pages maintained by external providers. The views expressed by these external providers on their own web pages or on external sites they link to are not necessarily those of Gavekal.
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