Gavekal Capital: Import And Export Prices Are Tumbling Downward Worldwide

Monday, March 2, 2015

Import And Export Prices Are Tumbling Downward Worldwide

World import and export prices finished 2014 with the largest year-over-year decline since 2009 according to the CPB world trade monitor. Export prices declined by 9.2% YoY% and import prices declined by 8.8%. No area in the world escaped the deflation in trade prices as the decline in prices was broad based.

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Export prices declined by 9.4% YoY% in the developed markets and declined by nearly as much (9%) in the emerging markets. The decline in import prices in the developed markets reach 10.2%, while in the emerging markets, import prices declined by 7.4%.

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Export prices declined the most in Africa and the Middle East (25.7%) followed by Central and Eastern Europe as prices declined by 17.7%. Export prices in the Euro Area declined by 10.5%.

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Asian export prices decline by 2.1%, however, this roughly in the line with the average YoY change since 2012.  Export prices in the US declined by 3.1%.

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