Needless to say, we feel a sense of deja vu when considering
the yield action in the bond market in recent weeks. In Feburary bonds sold off
massively and yields had an epic rise in the course of a month. At the time we
commented that the selloff in bonds was among the largest going back to the
early 1980s and that a snapback, and resumption of trend, was likely. Simultaneously, we heard nothing
but how yields had just put in the low and a bear market in bonds had
started.
Since then yields have fallen back on cue, but as recently as yesterday we were reading how the minuscule move up in yields between March 24th and March 26th was evidence that the trend in yields is now higher. Allow us to disagree and remind readers that after all, "this is a bull market" in bonds.